Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.8% vs 47.7%). Rossi wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Beniers shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 47.1% vs Beniers 47.8% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rossi 57.0%
Defensive zone
Beniers 52.7%
Neutral zone
Rossi 56.1%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Rossi
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Rossi
Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
0
1
Rossi
Beniers
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Rossi
Beniers
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (879)
48.3% (1,050)
-1.8%
Power Play
48.6% (105)
42.9% (105)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
43.6% (39)
+6.4%
On penalty kill, Rossi has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Rossi is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (645).
Rossi shoots left. Beniers is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Home / Away
Rossi
Beniers
Home
47.5% (520)
48.7% (630)
Away
46.0% (472)
46.5% (564)
By Period
Rossi
Beniers
P1
47.8%
49.2%
P2
44.2%
45.0%
P3
48.7%
49.3%
OT
45.5%
22.2%
Final 5 min
47.6%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
52.0%▲
49.5%
46.8%
Beniers
64.0%▲
51.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2025 | 1 | 04:57 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 1 | 12:27 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 06:21 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |