Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 50.4% vs McCarron 52.5% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rossi 83.5%
Defensive zone
McCarron 75.1%
Neutral zone
Rossi 55.8%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 67.4%
32.6%
67.4%
Rossi
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Rossi
McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
2
Rossi
McCarron
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
1
Rossi
McCarron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (400)
53.1% (672)
-0.3%
Power Play
36.1% (36)
18.2% (11)
+17.9%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (27)
53.7% (205)
-16.7%
On power play, Rossi has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Rossi is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (145).
Rossi shoots left. McCarron is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Home / Away
Rossi
McCarron
Home
50.0% (242)
52.8% (477)
Away
51.1% (221)
52.8% (411)
By Period
Rossi
McCarron
P1
54.9%
56.5%
P2
48.7%
53.2%
P3
47.9%
49.0%
OT
40.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
50.5%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 08:05 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 05:16 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 16:46 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 16:33 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |