Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Rossi wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 47.1% vs McCarron 54.0% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
McCarron leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Rossi 88.0%
Defensive zone
McCarron 61.8%
Neutral zone
Rossi 59.0%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 64.4%
64.4%
35.6%
Rossi
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Rossi
McCarron
Last 10: Rossi 3-7 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
3
1
Rossi
McCarron
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
3
Rossi
McCarron
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
3
Rossi
McCarron
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (879)
54.2% (756)
-7.7%
Power Play
48.6% (105)
55.6% (9)
-7.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
55.1% (158)
-5.1%
On even strength, McCarron has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Rossi is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (347).
Rossi shoots left. McCarron is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (674).
Home / Away
Rossi
McCarron
Home
47.5% (520)
54.6% (445)
Away
46.0% (472)
54.2% (478)
By Period
Rossi
McCarron
P1
47.8%
53.6%
P2
44.2%
55.6%
P3
48.7%
53.7%
OT
45.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
47.6%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
46.8%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 15:41 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 15:23 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 09:01 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 18:49 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 14:21 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 11:37 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 04:21 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 17:29 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 19:46 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 07:47 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |