Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Rossi wins 39.1% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 45.3% vs McCarron 52.8% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rossi 69.5%
Defensive zone
McCarron 68.1%
Neutral zone
McCarron 50.3%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Rossi
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Rossi
McCarron
Last 5: Rossi 2-3 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
1
0
Rossi
McCarron
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
2
Rossi
McCarron
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Rossi
McCarron
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (701)
54.5% (618)
-10.0%
Power Play
56.1% (41)
42.1% (19)
+14.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (7)
35.3% (34)
-35.3%
On penalty kill, McCarron has a +35.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Rossi is 39.1% vs right-shot opponents (281).
Rossi shoots left. McCarron is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Home / Away
Rossi
McCarron
Home
46.8% (385)
52.2% (339)
Away
42.6% (364)
54.2% (332)
By Period
Rossi
McCarron
P1
42.8%
53.5%
P2
43.9%
50.6%
P3
47.4%
55.9%
Final 5 min
37.3%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
44.7%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 09:06 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 17:52 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 3 | 11:34 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 1 | 16:29 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 19:08 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |