Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Rossi wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 47.1% vs Zibanejad 51.8% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rossi 70.8%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 60.6%
Neutral zone
Rossi 50.3%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Rossi
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Rossi
Zibanejad
Last 5: Rossi 2-3 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
1
0
Rossi
Zibanejad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
Rossi
Zibanejad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
2
Rossi
Zibanejad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (879)
52.9% (870)
-6.4%
Power Play
48.6% (105)
53.5% (43)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
46.2% (143)
+3.8%
On even strength, Zibanejad has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Rossi is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (347).
Rossi shoots left. Zibanejad is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (748).
Home / Away
Rossi
Zibanejad
Home
47.5% (520)
55.1% (501)
Away
46.0% (472)
49.2% (555)
By Period
Rossi
Zibanejad
P1
47.8%
57.5%
P2
44.2%
50.7%
P3
48.7%
47.9%
OT
45.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
47.6%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
46.8%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 2 | 07:21 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 1 | 00:21 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 1 | 17:40 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 1 | 00:29 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |