Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Rossi on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 50.4% vs Zibanejad 51.6% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rossi 61.7%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 59.3%
Neutral zone
Rossi 53.7%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Rossi
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Rossi
Zibanejad
Last 5: Rossi 4-1 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
1
0
Rossi
Zibanejad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
3
0
Rossi
Zibanejad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
Rossi
Zibanejad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (400)
53.4% (770)
-0.6%
Power Play
36.1% (36)
46.2% (39)
-10.1%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (27)
44.7% (141)
-7.7%
On power play, Zibanejad has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Rossi is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (145).
Rossi shoots left. Zibanejad is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Home / Away
Rossi
Zibanejad
Home
50.0% (242)
49.0% (429)
Away
51.1% (221)
54.1% (521)
By Period
Rossi
Zibanejad
P1
54.9%
53.0%
P2
48.7%
51.1%
P3
47.9%
51.0%
OT
40.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
50.5%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 14:26 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 06:29 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 2 | 07:56 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 2 | 04:36 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 08:29 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |