Scouting Report
Marco Rossi holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 50.4% vs Bjugstad 49.1% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rossi 53.1%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 71.4%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 63.4%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 71.4%
28.6%
71.4%
Rossi
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Rossi
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
2
Rossi
Bjugstad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (400)
48.9% (280)
+3.9%
Power Play
36.1% (36)
50.0% (6)
-13.9%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (27)
47.2% (36)
-10.2%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Rossi is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (145).
Rossi shoots left. Bjugstad is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (254).
Home / Away
Rossi
Bjugstad
Home
50.0% (242)
48.4% (190)
Away
51.1% (221)
49.2% (132)
By Period
Rossi
Bjugstad
P1
54.9%
41.7%
P2
48.7%
56.6%
P3
47.9%
48.7%
OT
40.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
45.1%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
50.5%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 06:59 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 03:45 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |