Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 50.4% vs Paul 53.3% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rossi 52.7%
Defensive zone
Rossi 51.6%
Neutral zone
Rossi 56.3%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Rossi
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Rossi
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Rossi
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (400)
53.2% (327)
-0.4%
Power Play
36.1% (36)
61.4% (57)
-25.3%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (27)
50.0% (32)
-13.0%
On power play, Paul has a +25.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Rossi is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (318).
Rossi shoots left. Paul is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Home / Away
Rossi
Paul
Home
50.0% (242)
54.6% (183)
Away
51.1% (221)
53.6% (233)
By Period
Rossi
Paul
P1
54.9%
56.3%
P2
48.7%
54.8%
P3
47.9%
52.4%
OT
40.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
45.1%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
50.5%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 01:33 | Defensive | Nick Paul |