Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 46.9% vs Paul 52.2% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Paul leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Rossi 64.7%
Defensive zone
Paul 54.5%
Neutral zone
Rossi 56.3%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Rossi
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
9
(16 meetings)
7
9
Rossi
Paul
Last 10: Rossi 6-4 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
4
2
Rossi
Paul
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
1
5
Rossi
Paul
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Rossi
Paul
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (2,140)
52.5% (3,796)
-5.5%
Power Play
47.3% (188)
56.5% (480)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
34.1% (44)
46.7% (574)
-12.6%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Rossi is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,529).
Rossi shoots left. Paul is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,067).
Home / Away
Rossi
Paul
Home
47.8% (1,207)
52.7% (2,412)
Away
45.7% (1,165)
51.7% (2,439)
By Period
Rossi
Paul
P1
47.3%
53.9%
P2
44.8%
51.0%
P3
48.3%
52.0%
OT
45.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.2%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
46.8%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 01:33 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 3 | 14:27 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 3 | 06:23 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 2 | 06:19 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 12:17 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 2 | 07:19 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 1 | 03:41 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 13:12 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 10:11 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 07:15 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 00:28 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 1 | 13:30 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 01:25 | Offensive | Nick Paul |