Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 50.4% vs Zacha 51.7% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rossi 54.8%
Defensive zone
Zacha 61.6%
Neutral zone
Zacha 52.1%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Rossi
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Rossi
Zacha
Last 6: Rossi 0-6 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
3
Rossi
Zacha
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Rossi
Zacha
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
2
Rossi
Zacha
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (400)
53.3% (646)
-0.5%
Power Play
36.1% (36)
53.0% (100)
-16.9%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (27)
38.9% (72)
-1.9%
On power play, Zacha has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Rossi is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (318).
Rossi shoots left. Zacha is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (476).
Home / Away
Rossi
Zacha
Home
50.0% (242)
51.7% (410)
Away
51.1% (221)
52.2% (408)
By Period
Rossi
Zacha
P1
54.9%
57.7%
P2
48.7%
48.9%
P3
47.9%
50.2%
OT
40.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
45.1%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
50.5%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 18:11 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 18:01 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 08:51 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 01:15 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 13:21 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 03:15 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |