Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Rossi wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 47.1% vs Zacha 52.8% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rossi 61.9%
Defensive zone
Rossi 60.1%
Neutral zone
Rossi 61.5%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 61.2%
61.2%
38.8%
Rossi
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Rossi
Zacha
Last 8: Rossi 2-6 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
3
Rossi
Zacha
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
2
Rossi
Zacha
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Rossi
Zacha
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (879)
54.1% (534)
-7.6%
Power Play
48.6% (105)
56.0% (109)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
44.8% (96)
+5.2%
On even strength, Zacha has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Rossi is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (645).
Rossi shoots left. Zacha is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (433).
Home / Away
Rossi
Zacha
Home
47.5% (520)
53.4% (406)
Away
46.0% (472)
52.9% (333)
By Period
Rossi
Zacha
P1
47.8%
56.8%
P2
44.2%
53.6%
P3
48.7%
49.2%
OT
45.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.6%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
46.8%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2025 | 2 | 18:57 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 2 | 03:28 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 2 | 03:25 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 01:33 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 16:41 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 10:27 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 03:50 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |