Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Rossi on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 45.3% vs Zacha 54.4% (-10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 71.7%
Defensive zone
Zacha 63.0%
Neutral zone
Zacha 56.3%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 60.7%
39.3%
60.7%
Rossi
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Rossi
Zacha
Last 5: Rossi 3-2 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
1
0
Rossi
Zacha
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Rossi
Zacha
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rossi
2
1
Rossi
Zacha
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (701)
53.9% (787)
-9.4%
Power Play
56.1% (41)
63.2% (193)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (7)
44.3% (88)
-44.3%
On penalty kill, Zacha has a +44.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Rossi is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Rossi shoots left. Zacha is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Rossi
Zacha
Home
46.8% (385)
56.7% (538)
Away
42.6% (364)
52.8% (530)
By Period
Rossi
Zacha
P1
42.8%
52.6%
P2
43.9%
54.8%
P3
47.4%
56.8%
OT
50.0%
59.1%
Final 5 min
37.3%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
44.7%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 14:32 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 07:46 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 03:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 09:56 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 00:58 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |