Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Rossi on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 50.4% vs Thomas 51.7% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rossi 56.7%
Defensive zone
Thomas 51.3%
Neutral zone
Thomas 50.6%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Rossi
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Rossi
Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
2
1
Rossi
Thomas
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (400)
50.1% (615)
+2.7%
Power Play
36.1% (36)
62.2% (98)
-26.1%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (27)
52.6% (114)
-15.6%
On power play, Thomas has a +26.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Rossi is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (145).
Rossi shoots left. Thomas is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Home / Away
Rossi
Thomas
Home
50.0% (242)
51.9% (374)
Away
51.1% (221)
51.9% (453)
By Period
Rossi
Thomas
P1
54.9%
49.2%
P2
48.7%
55.3%
P3
47.9%
50.6%
OT
40.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
45.1%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
50.5%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 15:07 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 14:48 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:33 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |