Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Rossi wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 47.1% vs Thomas 54.5% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 15-6 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Rossi 71.7%
Defensive zone
Rossi 85.8%
Neutral zone
Rossi 75.2%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 79.4%
79.4%
20.6%
Rossi
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
15
(21 meetings)
6
15
Rossi
Thomas
Last 10: Rossi 3-7 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
4
Rossi
Thomas
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
4
6
Rossi
Thomas
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
5
Rossi
Thomas
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (879)
55.3% (990)
-8.8%
Power Play
48.6% (105)
54.2% (190)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
52.5% (158)
-2.5%
On even strength, Thomas has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Rossi is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (347).
Rossi shoots left. Thomas is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (994).
Home / Away
Rossi
Thomas
Home
47.5% (520)
55.1% (690)
Away
46.0% (472)
54.5% (648)
By Period
Rossi
Thomas
P1
47.8%
55.5%
P2
44.2%
56.4%
P3
48.7%
51.5%
OT
45.5%
69.0%
Final 5 min
47.6%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
46.8%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 16:55 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 10:20 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 09:58 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 03:52 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 2 | 12:47 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 2 | 07:46 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 3 | 11:15 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 3 | 04:12 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 2 | 12:14 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 2 | 06:40 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 2 | 00:10 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 1 | 09:55 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 1 | 04:17 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 3 | 18:07 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 2 | 17:43 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 2 | 13:48 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 2 | 04:25 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |