Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on neutral-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Rossi wins 39.1% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 45.3% vs Thomas 52.9% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 15-7 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Rossi 63.3%
Defensive zone
Rossi 79.4%
Neutral zone
Rossi 62.2%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 66.5%
66.5%
33.5%
Rossi
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
15
(22 meetings)
7
15
Rossi
Thomas
Last 10: Rossi 4-6 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
5
3
Rossi
Thomas
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
4
Rossi
Thomas
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
8
Rossi
Thomas
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (701)
53.2% (1,166)
-8.7%
Power Play
56.1% (41)
56.9% (262)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (7)
48.4% (221)
-48.4%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +48.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Rossi is 39.1% vs right-shot opponents (281).
Rossi shoots left. Thomas is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Home / Away
Rossi
Thomas
Home
46.8% (385)
51.6% (830)
Away
42.6% (364)
54.7% (819)
By Period
Rossi
Thomas
P1
42.8%
52.7%
P2
43.9%
55.6%
P3
47.4%
50.6%
OT
50.0%
61.5%
Final 5 min
37.3%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
44.7%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 18:44 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 04:52 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 16, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 15:54 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 13:02 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 11:16 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 09:07 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 02:52 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 18:04 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 12:05 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 17:37 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 03:51 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 06:49 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 06:41 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 03:32 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 09:28 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 15:29 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |