Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on neutral-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 46.9% vs McLeod 49.6% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Rossi 65.7%
Defensive zone
McLeod 56.9%
Neutral zone
Rossi 57.9%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 56.8%
56.8%
43.2%
Rossi
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
8
(13 meetings)
5
8
Rossi
McLeod
Last 10: Rossi 5-5 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
2
0
Rossi
McLeod
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Rossi
McLeod
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
2
7
Rossi
McLeod
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (2,140)
50.4% (3,345)
-3.4%
Power Play
47.3% (188)
51.0% (292)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
34.1% (44)
44.3% (635)
-10.2%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Rossi is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,529).
Rossi shoots left. McLeod is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Home / Away
Rossi
McLeod
Home
47.8% (1,207)
50.2% (2,158)
Away
45.7% (1,165)
48.9% (2,114)
By Period
Rossi
McLeod
P1
47.3%
50.8%
P2
44.8%
48.4%
P3
48.3%
50.0%
OT
45.8%
37.1%
Final 5 min
44.2%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
46.8%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 15:15 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 12:00 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 08:11 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 00:56 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 10:29 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 03:12 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 18:20 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Feb 23, 2024 | 2 | 14:28 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Feb 23, 2024 | 2 | 10:27 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 09:26 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 09:20 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 00:54 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |