Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 45.3% vs McLeod 50.7% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rossi 60.8%
Defensive zone
Rossi 63.3%
Neutral zone
Rossi 63.3%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 63.3%
63.3%
36.7%
Rossi
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Rossi
McLeod
Last 5: Rossi 1-4 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
4
Rossi
McLeod
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (701)
51.3% (628)
-6.8%
Power Play
56.1% (41)
68.3% (41)
-12.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (7)
30.6% (49)
-30.6%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +30.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Rossi is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Rossi shoots left. McLeod is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (507).
Home / Away
Rossi
McLeod
Home
46.8% (385)
51.5% (394)
Away
42.6% (364)
50.0% (324)
By Period
Rossi
McLeod
P1
42.8%
51.5%
P2
43.9%
47.0%
P3
47.4%
54.3%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
37.3%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
44.7%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2024 | 2 | 14:28 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Feb 23, 2024 | 2 | 10:27 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 09:26 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 09:20 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 00:54 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |