Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Rossi wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 47.1% vs McLeod 52.1% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rossi 70.8%
Defensive zone
McLeod 74.1%
Neutral zone
McLeod 51.1%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Rossi
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Rossi
McLeod
Last 8: Rossi 4-4 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
2
0
Rossi
McLeod
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Rossi
McLeod
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
3
Rossi
McLeod
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (879)
52.9% (904)
-6.4%
Power Play
48.6% (105)
57.6% (59)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
49.0% (241)
+1.0%
On power play, McLeod has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Rossi is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (645).
Rossi shoots left. McLeod is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (784).
Home / Away
Rossi
McLeod
Home
47.5% (520)
51.8% (612)
Away
46.0% (472)
52.9% (592)
By Period
Rossi
McLeod
P1
47.8%
55.4%
P2
44.2%
50.8%
P3
48.7%
51.6%
OT
45.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
47.6%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
46.8%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 15:15 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 12:00 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 08:11 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 00:56 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 10:29 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 03:12 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 18:20 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |