Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 48.4% vs O'Reilly 55.2% (-8.5%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 56.0%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 65.0%
Neutral zone
Rossi 61.4%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Rossi
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (139)
56.1% (690)
-8.6%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
64.6% (96)
-24.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
45.9% (109)
+4.1%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +24.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Rossi is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (86).
Rossi shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (603).
Home / Away
Rossi
O'Reilly
Home
53.2% (47)
58.3% (408)
Away
44.4% (99)
53.6% (487)
By Period
Rossi
O'Reilly
P1
44.4%
57.7%
P2
45.5%
54.8%
P3
53.2%
55.2%
OT
0.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
48.7%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
47.3%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.8%