Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 45.3% vs Aho 53.8% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 62.6%
Defensive zone
Aho 50.7%
Neutral zone
Rossi 51.3%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Rossi
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Rossi
Aho
Last 6: Rossi 3-3 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Rossi
Aho
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
1
0
Rossi
Aho
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
1
2
Rossi
Aho
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (701)
51.2% (785)
-6.7%
Power Play
56.1% (41)
63.8% (213)
-7.7%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (7)
57.9% (57)
-57.9%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +57.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Rossi is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Rossi shoots left. Aho is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Home / Away
Rossi
Aho
Home
46.8% (385)
54.9% (548)
Away
42.6% (364)
53.3% (507)
By Period
Rossi
Aho
P1
42.8%
52.8%
P2
43.9%
58.9%
P3
47.4%
50.6%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
37.3%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
44.7%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 16:20 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 3 | 11:53 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 2 | 17:23 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 2 | 13:40 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 2 | 08:58 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 1 | 08:46 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |