Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 46.5% vs Aho 51.3% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 17-12 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Rossi 73.1%
Defensive zone
Rossi 70.4%
Neutral zone
Rossi 73.0%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 72.0%
72.0%
28.0%
Rossi
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
17
(29 meetings)
12
17
Rossi
Aho
Last 10: Rossi 7-3 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Rossi
Aho
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
6
5
Rossi
Aho
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
2
8
Rossi
Aho
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (2,023)
50.1% (6,415)
-3.5%
Power Play
47.6% (185)
59.1% (1,297)
-11.5%
Penalty Kill
32.6% (43)
46.0% (446)
-13.4%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Rossi is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,454).
Rossi shoots left. Aho is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,145).
Home / Away
Rossi
Aho
Home
47.1% (1,122)
52.4% (4,199)
Away
45.6% (1,129)
50.2% (3,959)
By Period
Rossi
Aho
P1
47.0%
51.2%
P2
44.5%
52.1%
P3
47.6%
50.8%
OT
47.8%
48.9%
Final 5 min
43.6%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
52.0%▲
49.5%
46.4%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 15:05 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 09:32 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 06:38 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 02:39 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 15:23 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 15:13 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 14:03 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 08:45 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 08:36 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 08:29 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 13:13 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 04:27 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:49 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:24 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 1 | 16:08 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:26 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 16:51 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 14:50 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 14:49 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:42 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |