Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 49.5% vs Stamkos 54.6% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rossi 55.5%
Defensive zone
Rossi 70.5%
Neutral zone
Rossi 59.7%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Rossi
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Rossi
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Rossi
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (283)
56.7% (254)
-4.4%
Power Play
36.4% (33)
52.6% (76)
-16.2%
Penalty Kill
34.6% (26)
100.0% (2)
-65.4%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +65.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Rossi is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (99).
Rossi shoots left. Stamkos is 58.9% vs left-shot opponents (248).
Home / Away
Rossi
Stamkos
Home
46.5% (157)
51.9% (158)
Away
51.9% (185)
59.8% (174)
By Period
Rossi
Stamkos
P1
56.0%
56.5%
P2
48.2%
55.0%
P3
43.6%
56.5%
OT
50.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
41.9%
58.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
52.0%▲
49.5%
49.4%
Stamkos
56.0%▬
56.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 16:50 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |