Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 50.4% vs Stamkos 54.6% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 56.7%
Defensive zone
Rossi 67.6%
Neutral zone
Rossi 53.4%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 56.7%
43.3%
56.7%
Rossi
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Rossi
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Rossi
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (400)
56.1% (342)
-3.3%
Power Play
36.1% (36)
53.3% (92)
-17.2%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (27)
62.5% (8)
-25.5%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +25.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Rossi is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (145).
Rossi shoots left. Stamkos is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (325).
Home / Away
Rossi
Stamkos
Home
50.0% (242)
53.4% (208)
Away
51.1% (221)
57.7% (234)
By Period
Rossi
Stamkos
P1
54.9%
55.6%
P2
48.7%
52.8%
P3
47.9%
59.1%
OT
40.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
45.1%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
50.5%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 08:13 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 16:50 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |