Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Rossi on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Rossi wins 43.9% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 46.9% vs Stamkos 51.0% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Rossi leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 74.4%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 69.7%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 60.9%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 68.2%
31.8%
68.2%
Rossi
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Rossi
Stamkos
Last 10: Rossi 7-3 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Rossi
Stamkos
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
3
0
Rossi
Stamkos
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Rossi
Stamkos
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (2,140)
50.4% (9,799)
-3.4%
Power Play
47.3% (188)
55.1% (1,725)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
34.1% (44)
49.7% (825)
-15.6%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Rossi is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (843).
Rossi shoots left. Stamkos is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,778).
Home / Away
Rossi
Stamkos
Home
47.8% (1,207)
52.7% (6,248)
Away
45.7% (1,165)
49.3% (6,127)
By Period
Rossi
Stamkos
P1
47.3%
49.1%
P2
44.8%
52.7%
P3
48.3%
50.9%
OT
45.8%
54.3%
Final 5 min
44.2%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
46.8%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 08:13 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 16:50 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 08:05 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 07:18 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 12:54 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 09:24 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 06:16 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 15:14 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 08:23 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 07:54 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 1 | 01:47 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |