Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Rossi on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Rossi wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 47.1% vs Stamkos 49.9% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 72.2%
Defensive zone
Rossi 57.4%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 54.1%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Rossi
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Rossi
Stamkos
Last 8: Rossi 6-2 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
1
0
Rossi
Stamkos
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
3
0
Rossi
Stamkos
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Rossi
Stamkos
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (879)
49.3% (670)
-2.8%
Power Play
48.6% (105)
53.7% (121)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
33.3% (3)
+16.7%
On penalty kill, Rossi has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Rossi is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (347).
Rossi shoots left. Stamkos is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (610).
Home / Away
Rossi
Stamkos
Home
47.5% (520)
54.0% (400)
Away
46.0% (472)
45.7% (394)
By Period
Rossi
Stamkos
P1
47.8%
48.6%
P2
44.2%
54.5%
P3
48.7%
45.4%
OT
45.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
47.6%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
46.8%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 08:05 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 07:18 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 12:54 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 09:24 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 06:16 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 15:14 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 08:23 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 07:54 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |