Scouting Report
Marco Rossi holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Lewis on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Rossi wins 39.1% vs right-shot opponents — Lewis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 45.3% vs Lewis 44.4% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lewis 50.2%
Defensive zone
Lewis 73.9%
Neutral zone
Lewis 62.6%
Result
Trevor Lewis favored at 61.0%
39.0%
61.0%
Rossi
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Rossi
Lewis
Last 9: Rossi 3-6 Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
2
1
Rossi
Lewis
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lewis
0
2
Rossi
Lewis
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lewis
1
3
Rossi
Lewis
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (701)
45.7% (210)
-1.2%
Power Play
56.1% (41)
71.4% (7)
-15.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (7)
33.7% (95)
-33.7%
On penalty kill, Lewis has a +33.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Rossi is 39.1% vs right-shot opponents (281).
Rossi shoots left. Lewis is 38.4% vs left-shot opponents (232).
Home / Away
Rossi
Lewis
Home
46.8% (385)
48.8% (166)
Away
42.6% (364)
35.6% (146)
By Period
Rossi
Lewis
P1
42.8%
37.9%
P2
43.9%
46.7%
P3
47.4%
42.7%
Final 5 min
37.3%
40.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
44.7%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2024 | 3 | 14:36 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 2 | 10:48 | Defensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 2 | 01:49 | Offensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 1 | 05:57 | Defensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 1 | 05:29 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Mar 20, 2024 | 3 | 14:16 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Mar 20, 2024 | 1 | 15:03 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 19:51 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 07:46 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |