Scouting Report
Marco Rossi holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Lewis on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Rossi wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Lewis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 46.5% vs Lewis 43.2% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lewis 63.9%
Defensive zone
Lewis 62.6%
Neutral zone
Lewis 61.6%
Result
Trevor Lewis favored at 62.6%
37.4%
62.6%
Rossi
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Rossi
Lewis
Last 9: Rossi 3-6 Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
2
1
Rossi
Lewis
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lewis
0
2
Rossi
Lewis
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lewis
1
3
Rossi
Lewis
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (2,023)
43.2% (2,347)
+3.4%
Power Play
47.6% (185)
51.9% (108)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
32.6% (43)
38.6% (365)
-6.0%
On penalty kill, Lewis has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Rossi is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (797).
Rossi shoots left. Lewis is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,963).
Home / Away
Rossi
Lewis
Home
47.1% (1,122)
44.1% (1,395)
Away
45.6% (1,129)
41.8% (1,428)
By Period
Rossi
Lewis
P1
47.0%
42.8%
P2
44.5%
43.9%
P3
47.6%
41.9%
OT
47.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
52.0%▲
49.5%
46.4%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2024 | 3 | 14:36 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 2 | 10:48 | Defensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 2 | 01:49 | Offensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 1 | 05:57 | Defensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 1 | 05:29 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Mar 20, 2024 | 3 | 14:16 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Mar 20, 2024 | 1 | 15:03 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 19:51 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 07:46 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |