Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansson 47.1% vs Duchene 57.0% (-11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 76.5%
Defensive zone
Duchene 62.2%
Neutral zone
Duchene 60.5%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 64.8%
35.2%
64.8%
Johansson
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Johansson
Duchene
Last 5: Johansson 3-2 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansson
1
0
Johansson
Duchene
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
2
Johansson
Duchene
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansson
1
0
Johansson
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansson
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (272)
56.5% (527)
-10.5%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
61.6% (185)
+38.4%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
59.3% (27)
-34.3%
On power play, Johansson has a +38.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Johansson is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (181).
Johansson shoots left. Duchene is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (396).
Home / Away
Johansson
Duchene
Home
47.7% (130)
57.6% (403)
Away
44.6% (148)
58.3% (336)
By Period
Johansson
Duchene
P1
46.7%
61.4%
P2
50.0%
58.5%
P3
44.3%
54.9%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
46.8%
62.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansson
28.0%▼
38.0%
46.0%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2016 | 3 | 07:17 | Neutral | Marcus Johansson |
| Apr 1, 2016 | 2 | 09:41 | Offensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Apr 1, 2016 | 2 | 06:51 | Defensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Apr 1, 2016 | 1 | 13:38 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 1, 2016 | 1 | 00:55 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |