Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +37.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansson 42.4% vs Duchene 55.6% (-37.7%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 51.8%
Defensive zone
Duchene 66.6%
Neutral zone
Duchene 66.8%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 61.7%
38.3%
61.7%
Johansson
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansson
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
21.7% (23)
56.5% (566)
-34.8%
Power Play
16.7% (6)
61.3% (62)
-44.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
22.2% (9)
-22.2%
On power play, Duchene has a +44.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Johansson is 26.3% vs left-shot opponents (19).
Johansson shoots left. Duchene is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (386).
Home / Away
Johansson
Duchene
Home
25.0% (12)
56.6% (318)
Away
15.0% (20)
56.4% (319)
By Period
Johansson
Duchene
P1
12.5%
57.2%
P2
23.1%
55.1%
P3
33.3%
55.6%
Final 5 min
0.0%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansson
28.0%▼
38.0%
18.8%
Duchene
52.0%▲
49.5%
56.5%