Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansson 46.0% vs Duchene 52.8% (-12.3%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 60.9%
Defensive zone
Johansson 50.9%
Neutral zone
Johansson 51.7%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Johansson
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansson
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (54)
46.9% (162)
-6.2%
Power Play
43.2% (44)
73.2% (56)
-30.0%
On power play, Duchene has a +30.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Johansson is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (53).
Johansson shoots left. Duchene is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Home / Away
Johansson
Duchene
Home
44.2% (52)
58.4% (125)
Away
39.1% (46)
48.4% (95)
By Period
Johansson
Duchene
P1
37.1%
56.9%
P2
34.6%
52.5%
P3
52.8%
51.9%
OT
0.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
52.0%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansson
28.0%▼
38.0%
41.8%
Duchene
52.0%▲
49.5%
54.1%