Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 51.1% vs Jankowski 45.7% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 88.0%
Defensive zone
Carter 73.3%
Neutral zone
Carter 78.7%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 83.8%
83.8%
16.2%
Carter
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Carter
Jankowski
Last 7: Carter 6-1 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
5
0
Carter
Jankowski
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Carter
Jankowski
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (552)
46.7% (349)
+5.5%
Power Play
56.4% (94)
50.0% (6)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (100)
34.3% (70)
+6.7%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Carter is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Carter shoots right. Jankowski is 42.0% vs right-shot opponents (174).
Home / Away
Carter
Jankowski
Home
51.2% (324)
47.0% (183)
Away
51.2% (422)
43.0% (242)
By Period
Carter
Jankowski
P1
49.8%
44.5%
P2
52.8%
42.9%
P3
51.2%
47.4%
Final 5 min
48.7%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
51.2%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2020 | 2 | 18:05 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 12, 2020 | 2 | 17:55 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 12, 2020 | 2 | 08:46 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 12, 2020 | 1 | 10:36 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 3 | 10:25 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 2 | 11:26 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 1 | 11:56 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |