Scouting Report
Kyle MacLean holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Jankowski on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). MacLean wins 59.6% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacLean 54.6% vs Jankowski 53.6% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 63.2%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 55.9%
Neutral zone
MacLean 53.4%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
MacLean
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
MacLean
Jankowski
Last 5: MacLean 3-2 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
2
MacLean
Jankowski
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacLean
2
0
MacLean
Jankowski
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacLean
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
60.6% (71)
54.1% (527)
+6.5%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
50.0% (14)
-50.0%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
57.5% (40)
+42.5%
On power play, Jankowski has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. MacLean is 59.6% vs left-shot opponents (47).
MacLean shoots left. Jankowski is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (365).
Home / Away
MacLean
Jankowski
Home
68.0% (25)
53.9% (310)
Away
57.1% (49)
54.6% (271)
By Period
MacLean
Jankowski
P1
45.5%
54.6%
P2
78.1%
56.3%
P3
50.0%
51.9%
Final 5 min
76.9%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacLean
56.0%▬
56.5%
60.8%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 14:31 | Neutral | Kyle MacLean |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 02:02 | Defensive | Kyle MacLean |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 18:02 | Neutral | Kyle MacLean |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 13:31 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 08:28 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |