Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Jankowski wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 54.4% vs Zibanejad 49.5% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 54.5%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 69.0%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 56.9%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 57.2%
57.2%
42.8%
Jankowski
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Jankowski
Zibanejad
Last 5: Jankowski 3-2 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jankowski
Zibanejad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
2
0
Jankowski
Zibanejad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
Jankowski
Zibanejad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (273)
50.1% (1,051)
+8.5%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
58.3% (120)
+8.4%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (67)
41.9% (227)
+1.4%
On even strength, Jankowski has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Jankowski is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (150).
Jankowski shoots left. Zibanejad is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,029).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Zibanejad
Home
54.7% (128)
49.0% (681)
Away
56.3% (215)
49.9% (717)
By Period
Jankowski
Zibanejad
P1
54.5%
49.9%
P2
56.5%
47.6%
P3
56.2%
51.1%
Final 5 min
52.7%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
55.7%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2023 | 1 | 11:16 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 19:17 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 16:11 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 02:30 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 06:37 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |