Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Jankowski wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 53.6% vs Zibanejad 51.6% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 53.3%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 67.5%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 58.0%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Jankowski
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Jankowski
Zibanejad
Last 5: Jankowski 2-3 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
3
Jankowski
Zibanejad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
2
0
Jankowski
Zibanejad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (527)
53.4% (770)
+0.7%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
46.2% (39)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
57.5% (40)
44.7% (141)
+12.8%
On penalty kill, Jankowski has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Jankowski is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (216).
Jankowski shoots left. Zibanejad is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Zibanejad
Home
53.9% (310)
49.0% (429)
Away
54.6% (271)
54.1% (521)
By Period
Jankowski
Zibanejad
P1
54.6%
53.0%
P2
56.3%
51.1%
P3
51.9%
51.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 08:20 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 11:43 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 11:28 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 19:27 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 09:36 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |