Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Jankowski on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Jankowski wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 53.6% vs Foligno 49.8% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 87.6%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 65.3%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 76.2%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 76.2%
76.2%
23.8%
Jankowski
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Jankowski
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
4
0
Jankowski
Foligno
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (527)
49.0% (261)
+5.1%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
57.1% (42)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
57.5% (40)
47.1% (51)
+10.4%
On penalty kill, Jankowski has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Jankowski is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (365).
Jankowski shoots left. Foligno is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Foligno
Home
53.9% (310)
48.9% (178)
Away
54.6% (271)
50.6% (176)
By Period
Jankowski
Foligno
P1
54.6%
40.4%
P2
56.3%
55.8%
P3
51.9%
51.2%
Final 5 min
54.9%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 10:59 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 10:46 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 12:50 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 02:29 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |