Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 50.4% vs Foligno 48.6% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Foligno leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Foligno 73.0%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 59.3%
Neutral zone
Foligno 57.2%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 59.9%
40.1%
59.9%
Jankowski
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
10
(17 meetings)
7
10
Jankowski
Foligno
Last 10: Jankowski 4-6 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
2
3
Jankowski
Foligno
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
2
Jankowski
Foligno
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
5
5
Jankowski
Foligno
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (3,462)
48.3% (2,810)
+3.2%
Power Play
53.7% (95)
52.3% (730)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
42.8% (528)
44.0% (455)
-1.2%
On even strength, Jankowski has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Jankowski is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,535).
Jankowski shoots left. Foligno is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,496).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Foligno
Home
51.9% (1,940)
49.9% (2,013)
Away
49.1% (2,145)
47.2% (1,984)
By Period
Jankowski
Foligno
P1
50.0%
47.6%
P2
51.2%
50.4%
P3
50.2%
48.3%
OT
20.0%
29.7%
Final 5 min
52.8%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.4%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 10:59 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 10:46 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 12:50 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 02:29 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 12:47 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 3 | 09:52 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 2 | 16:42 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 2 | 04:52 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 1 | 02:06 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 22, 2017 | OT | 01:34 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 2 | 12:35 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 2 | 12:22 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 2 | 06:23 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 1 | 12:53 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 1 | 08:26 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |