Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Jankowski on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Jankowski wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 54.3% vs Foligno 49.4% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 92.3%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 73.4%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 83.8%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 83.8%
83.8%
16.2%
Jankowski
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Jankowski
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
4
0
Jankowski
Foligno
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (393)
49.3% (215)
+5.9%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
57.1% (35)
-17.1%
Penalty Kill
62.1% (29)
41.9% (43)
+20.2%
On penalty kill, Jankowski has a +20.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Jankowski is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (268).
Jankowski shoots left. Foligno is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (163).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Foligno
Home
56.1% (239)
47.5% (158)
Away
54.4% (193)
51.1% (135)
By Period
Jankowski
Foligno
P1
56.6%
42.7%
P2
56.7%
51.4%
P3
52.9%
51.9%
Final 5 min
56.9%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
54.0%▼
57.0%
55.3%
Foligno
40.0%▼
51.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 10:59 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 10:46 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 12:50 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 02:29 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |