Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 48.9% vs Foligno 46.4% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 58.8%
Defensive zone
Foligno 56.2%
Neutral zone
Foligno 57.6%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 57.8%
42.2%
57.8%
Jankowski
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Jankowski
Foligno
Last 8: Jankowski 3-5 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
2
1
Jankowski
Foligno
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
1
Jankowski
Foligno
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
3
Jankowski
Foligno
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (746)
46.3% (566)
+3.2%
Power Play
53.1% (32)
43.4% (106)
+9.7%
Penalty Kill
28.1% (32)
46.4% (69)
-18.3%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Jankowski is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (514).
Jankowski shoots left. Foligno is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (447).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Foligno
Home
50.4% (399)
48.9% (364)
Away
47.2% (411)
43.0% (377)
By Period
Jankowski
Foligno
P1
49.4%
48.7%
P2
48.7%
46.9%
P3
48.7%
44.0%
OT
0.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
48.8%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2017 | OT | 01:34 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 2 | 12:35 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 2 | 12:22 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 2 | 06:23 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 1 | 12:53 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 1 | 08:26 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |