Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Jankowski wins 42.9% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 48.7% vs Hartman 45.3% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 79.7%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 59.9%
Neutral zone
Hartman 59.0%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 59.5%
40.5%
59.5%
Jankowski
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Jankowski
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Jankowski
Hartman
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Jankowski
Hartman
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Jankowski
Hartman
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (126)
44.8% (936)
+6.8%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
49.4% (154)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (51)
33.3% (54)
+5.9%
On even strength, Jankowski has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Jankowski is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (70).
Jankowski shoots left. Hartman is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (800).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Hartman
Home
45.3% (64)
47.4% (568)
Away
49.6% (115)
42.4% (576)
By Period
Jankowski
Hartman
P1
53.7%
47.2%
P2
45.8%
43.4%
P3
43.4%
43.8%
Final 5 min
58.3%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
48.0%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2021 | 3 | 12:40 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 2 | 11:33 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 2 | 06:16 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 1 | 07:42 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |