Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Jankowski wins 42.9% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 50.5% vs Hartman 48.1% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 57.8%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 53.5%
Neutral zone
Hartman 51.0%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Jankowski
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Jankowski
Hartman
Last 5: Jankowski 2-3 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
2
Jankowski
Hartman
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
2
0
Jankowski
Hartman
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Jankowski
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (347)
48.1% (520)
+3.2%
Power Play
72.7% (11)
44.7% (47)
+28.0%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (75)
47.8% (23)
-3.8%
On power play, Jankowski has a +28.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Jankowski is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (163).
Jankowski shoots left. Hartman is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Hartman
Home
46.8% (188)
48.3% (360)
Away
53.5% (245)
47.0% (230)
By Period
Jankowski
Hartman
P1
51.6%
48.5%
P2
49.3%
45.2%
P3
50.9%
49.6%
Final 5 min
50.0%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.6%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 02:57 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 02:50 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 01:36 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 10:10 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 05:27 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |