Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Jankowski wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 54.4% vs Johansen 58.2% (-3.5%)
Offensive zone
Johansen 84.2%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 79.8%
Neutral zone
Johansen 50.6%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Jankowski
Johansen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (273)
59.8% (625)
-1.2%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
58.2% (196)
+8.5%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (67)
51.9% (27)
-8.6%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Jankowski is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (150).
Jankowski shoots left. Johansen is 60.4% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Johansen
Home
54.7% (128)
60.3% (436)
Away
56.3% (215)
58.0% (412)
By Period
Jankowski
Johansen
P1
54.5%
61.3%
P2
56.5%
60.4%
P3
56.2%
56.0%
Final 5 min
52.7%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
55.7%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.2%