Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Jankowski wins 46.0% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 50.2% vs Johansen 52.8% (-2.8%)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 55.9%
Defensive zone
Johansen 61.4%
Neutral zone
Johansen 54.0%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Jankowski
Johansen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (134)
51.9% (597)
-2.6%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
57.9% (133)
-20.4%
Penalty Kill
61.9% (21)
54.3% (81)
+7.6%
On power play, Johansen has a +20.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Jankowski is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (50).
Jankowski shoots left. Johansen is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (584).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Johansen
Home
54.2% (72)
55.8% (387)
Away
47.3% (91)
50.7% (424)
By Period
Jankowski
Johansen
P1
54.2%
50.0%
P2
42.4%
56.2%
P3
55.4%
52.6%
Final 5 min
56.5%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.3%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.1%