Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +14.6% FO% edge overall. Kastelic wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 55.9% vs McTavish 43.3% (+14.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 65.1%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 81.2%
Neutral zone
McTavish 51.2%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 58.1%
41.9%
58.1%
Kastelic
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Kastelic
McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
1
0
Kastelic
McTavish
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
1
Kastelic
McTavish
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (476)
42.4% (675)
+15.6%
Power Play
75.0% (8)
40.5% (42)
+34.5%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (106)
50.0% (8)
+0.9%
On power play, Kastelic has a +34.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Kastelic is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Kastelic shoots right. McTavish is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (284).
Home / Away
Kastelic
McTavish
Home
64.9% (265)
41.9% (372)
Away
50.5% (325)
42.8% (353)
By Period
Kastelic
McTavish
P1
58.5%
47.2%
P2
55.6%
36.2%
P3
56.8%
43.6%
Final 5 min
62.6%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
56.9%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
42.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2022 | 3 | 07:58 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 3 | 05:00 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |