Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kastelic on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 53.4% vs McTavish 50.6% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 60.6%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 91.8%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 71.8%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 91.8%
91.8%
8.2%
Kastelic
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Kastelic
McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
3
0
Kastelic
McTavish
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (345)
51.1% (769)
+4.3%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
50.6% (178)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
35.3% (17)
28.6% (14)
+6.7%
On penalty kill, Kastelic has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Kastelic is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Kastelic shoots right. McTavish is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Home / Away
Kastelic
McTavish
Home
50.6% (162)
52.3% (461)
Away
57.4% (204)
49.2% (500)
By Period
Kastelic
McTavish
P1
61.5%
51.5%
P2
52.8%
54.0%
P3
50.0%
47.1%
Final 5 min
46.5%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
54.4%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 08:22 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 06:28 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 01:03 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |