Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Kastelic wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Domi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 58.3% vs Domi 50.9% (+8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Domi 78.5%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 75.3%
Neutral zone
Domi 51.2%
Result
Max Domi favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Kastelic
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Kastelic
Domi
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Domi
0
1
Kastelic
Domi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
61.2% (340)
50.4% (254)
+10.8%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
59.3% (27)
+24.0%
On power play, Kastelic has a +24.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Kastelic is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (405).
Kastelic shoots right. Domi is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (92).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Domi
Home
60.9% (233)
50.0% (174)
Away
59.1% (254)
53.3% (107)
By Period
Kastelic
Domi
P1
58.6%
45.7%
P2
58.7%
51.5%
P3
63.1%
57.3%
OT
53.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
67.5%
38.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
60.0%
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 13:17 | Neutral | Max Domi |