Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Domi on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kastelic wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Domi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 56.5% vs Domi 48.8% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Domi leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Domi 77.8%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 88.1%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 52.7%
Result
Max Domi favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Kastelic
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Kastelic
Domi
Last 10: Kastelic 5-5 Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Kastelic
Domi
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
2
0
Kastelic
Domi
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Domi
1
3
Kastelic
Domi
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (1,613)
48.1% (4,296)
+8.9%
Power Play
80.0% (25)
53.4% (633)
+26.6%
Penalty Kill
53.6% (274)
48.8% (41)
+4.8%
On power play, Kastelic has a +26.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Kastelic is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,420).
Kastelic shoots right. Domi is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,629).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Domi
Home
58.9% (895)
49.7% (2,604)
Away
55.1% (1,017)
47.8% (2,366)
By Period
Kastelic
Domi
P1
58.5%
48.7%
P2
56.9%
48.3%
P3
55.3%
49.8%
OT
53.8%
43.5%
Final 5 min
59.6%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
56.9%
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 13:17 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 10:33 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 13:44 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 12:49 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 18:06 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 04:58 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 01:13 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 15:09 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 16:37 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 02:57 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |