Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Domi on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 53.4% vs Domi 50.2% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Domi 69.1%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 83.2%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 68.5%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Kastelic
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Kastelic
Domi
Last 9: Kastelic 5-4 Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Kastelic
Domi
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
2
0
Kastelic
Domi
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Domi
1
2
Kastelic
Domi
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (345)
49.7% (499)
+5.7%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
56.8% (44)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
35.3% (17)
0.0% (1)
+35.3%
On penalty kill, Kastelic has a +35.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Kastelic is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Kastelic shoots right. Domi is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (172).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Domi
Home
50.6% (162)
51.0% (298)
Away
57.4% (204)
49.2% (246)
By Period
Kastelic
Domi
P1
61.5%
54.8%
P2
52.8%
48.9%
P3
50.0%
46.4%
Final 5 min
46.5%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
62.0%▬
62.0%
54.4%
Domi
40.0%▼
50.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 10:33 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 13:44 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 12:49 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 18:06 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 04:58 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 01:13 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 15:09 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 16:37 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 02:57 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |