Mark Kastelic vs Nicklas Backstrom
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Kastelic wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 53.5% vs Backstrom 51.1% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kastelic 59.3%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 77.1%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 56.1%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Kastelic
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Kastelic
Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kastelic
1
0
Kastelic
Backstrom
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (337)
53.2% (77)
+0.2%
Power Play
100.0% (4)
50.0% (6)
+50.0%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
0.0% (1)
+75.0%
On penalty kill, Kastelic has a +75.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Kastelic is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (246).
Kastelic shoots right. Backstrom is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (23).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Backstrom
Home
56.2% (162)
54.5% (55)
Away
52.9% (187)
48.3% (29)
By Period
Kastelic
Backstrom
P1
58.2%
50.0%
P2
58.8%
52.9%
P3
45.4%
55.0%
Final 5 min
59.5%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
54.4%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2023 | 2 | 02:23 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |