Mark Kastelic vs Nicklas Backstrom
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Backstrom on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kastelic wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 56.5% vs Backstrom 50.5% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 72.7%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 88.4%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 54.5%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Kastelic
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Kastelic
Backstrom
Last 6: Kastelic 3-3 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
0
3
Kastelic
Backstrom
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
2
0
Kastelic
Backstrom
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kastelic
1
0
Kastelic
Backstrom
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (1,613)
50.4% (11,581)
+6.6%
Power Play
80.0% (25)
52.3% (1,895)
+27.7%
Penalty Kill
53.6% (274)
47.0% (889)
+6.6%
On power play, Kastelic has a +27.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Kastelic is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,420).
Kastelic shoots right. Backstrom is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (5,430).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Backstrom
Home
58.9% (895)
52.6% (7,223)
Away
55.1% (1,017)
48.4% (7,173)
By Period
Kastelic
Backstrom
P1
58.5%
50.1%
P2
56.9%
49.7%
P3
55.3%
51.6%
OT
53.8%
52.9%
Final 5 min
59.6%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
56.9%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2023 | 2 | 02:23 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 3 | 09:54 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 3 | 04:05 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 2 | 03:11 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 1 | 19:49 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 1 | 03:45 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |