Mark Kastelic vs Philipp Kurashev
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kurashev on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kastelic wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kurashev shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 55.9% vs Kurashev 46.6% (+12.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kurashev 81.9%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 80.7%
Neutral zone
Kurashev 52.8%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 61.4%
61.4%
38.6%
Kastelic
Kurashev
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Kastelic
Kurashev
Last 5: Kastelic 2-3 Kurashev
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kurashev
0
1
Kastelic
Kurashev
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kurashev
1
2
Kastelic
Kurashev
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kastelic
1
0
Kastelic
Kurashev
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Kurashev
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (476)
42.8% (145)
+15.2%
Power Play
75.0% (8)
45.5% (33)
+29.5%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (106)
66.7% (12)
-15.8%
On power play, Kastelic has a +29.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kurashev shoots left. Kastelic is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Kastelic shoots right. Kurashev is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (102).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Kurashev
Home
64.9% (265)
51.2% (82)
Away
50.5% (325)
39.8% (108)
By Period
Kastelic
Kurashev
P1
58.5%
51.7%
P2
55.6%
45.7%
P3
56.8%
37.0%
Final 5 min
62.6%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
56.9%
Kurashev
38.0%▼
43.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2023 | 3 | 07:36 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 3 | 02:44 | Defensive | Philipp Kurashev |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 2 | 12:16 | Offensive | Philipp Kurashev |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 1 | 09:50 | Defensive | Philipp Kurashev |