Mark Kastelic vs Philipp Kurashev
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kastelic on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kastelic wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kurashev shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 56.5% vs Kurashev 44.8% (+12.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kastelic 51.5%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 94.5%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 81.6%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 84.3%
84.3%
15.7%
Kastelic
Kurashev
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Kastelic
Kurashev
Last 8: Kastelic 5-3 Kurashev
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kurashev
0
1
Kastelic
Kurashev
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Kastelic
Kurashev
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kastelic
3
0
Kastelic
Kurashev
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Kurashev
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (1,613)
44.6% (924)
+12.4%
Power Play
80.0% (25)
43.6% (156)
+36.4%
Penalty Kill
53.6% (274)
42.1% (38)
+11.5%
On power play, Kastelic has a +36.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kurashev shoots left. Kastelic is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,420).
Kastelic shoots right. Kurashev is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (442).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Kurashev
Home
58.9% (895)
44.5% (521)
Away
55.1% (1,017)
44.2% (597)
By Period
Kastelic
Kurashev
P1
58.5%
46.1%
P2
56.9%
44.4%
P3
55.3%
42.9%
OT
53.8%
38.5%
Final 5 min
59.6%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
56.9%
Kurashev
38.0%▼
43.5%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2025 | 1 | 14:42 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 2 | 18:23 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 2 | 02:58 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 3 | 07:36 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 3 | 02:44 | Defensive | Philipp Kurashev |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 2 | 12:16 | Offensive | Philipp Kurashev |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 1 | 09:50 | Defensive | Philipp Kurashev |